Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.035984e-01 1.581820e-01 0.222516 0.301513 0.393809 0.496465 0.617639
2026-02-01 2.958360e-02 8.349255e-02 0.164447 0.279887 0.429538 0.608917 0.833209
2026-02-08 4.353296e-03 4.151362e-02 0.119368 0.247659 0.428276 0.656372 0.952236
2026-02-15 2.099756e-07 2.204548e-02 0.096763 0.237960 0.450226 0.728567 1.098689
2026-02-22 NaN 1.303077e-02 0.086870 0.243234 0.489629 0.820944 1.268569
2026-03-01 NaN 5.999961e-03 0.074370 0.240338 0.515047 0.893682 1.413045
2026-03-08 NaN 1.246373e-03 0.058007 0.225568 0.519870 0.937005 1.518715
2026-03-15 NaN 7.257884e-04 0.060679 0.248021 0.582117 1.058916 1.726474
2026-03-22 NaN 3.977601e-04 0.063644 0.271020 0.645413 1.182638 1.937153
2026-03-29 NaN 5.098241e-05 0.062107 0.283735 0.692191 1.283573 2.118390
2026-04-05 NaN 4.370611e-05 0.068484 0.314419 0.768318 1.425896 2.354481
2026-04-12 NaN 1.826164e-07 0.070151 0.334283 0.826986 1.544029 2.559178
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063898 0.336341 0.858819 1.628031 2.724076
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047796 0.310619 0.843184 1.644631 2.800355
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.031691 0.277130 0.810475 1.634217 2.838544
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024705 0.266631 0.816324 1.678646 2.949557
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.022719 0.272290 0.851280 1.765960 3.118865
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018828 0.269196 0.869548 1.828312 3.254181
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012846 0.253470 0.862701 1.852383 3.336712
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.015239 0.277371 0.932525 1.992588 3.579376
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.017788 0.301793 1.003399 2.134522 3.824657
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.018037 0.315271 1.053222 2.244787 4.026600
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.022350 0.347735 1.139745 2.410668 4.305304